Elasticity

- Why Should I Care?

The way markets work depends on how people react to changes. If people keep buying a product, even if the price increases, then market prices might not come back down as quickly. And consumers might get mad because they might feel trapped or manipulated.

- This Lecture Has 2 Parts

Price-Elasticity of Demand
Price-Elasticity of Supply

- What is Elasticity?

The term elasticity is a metaphor used to explain price-sensitivity on markets. This sensitivity determines if people keep buying or selling a product in the same quantities, even if the price changes. It really matters for consumers and producers because there are always changes in the economy, so elasticity determines how markets actually adapt to a disruption of regular business activity. Elasticity was first modelled by Alfred Marshall in his landmark textbook on Economics.

Price-Elasticity of Demand

Economists look at the price sensitivity of buyers, and call that the price-elasticity of demand, or shorthand elasticity of demand. This matters to business people because if demand is said to be inelastic, that means consumers will keep buying the product even if the price has increased. In this situation, demand is said to be pent-up, and the demand curve will be quite steep if not vertical.

Why would people keep buying if the price increases?

The reason is that they are attached in some way to this product. A good example is gasoline. You can't use peanut oil in your car, or propane, or kerosene. If you drive for work, or to work, then you have no choice. The absence of an alternative solution is main reason for inelastic demand.

If there is an alternative, you will substitute out of the high-price product, and use the other option instead. In this case, an increase in price, would be accompanied by a dramatic decrease in quantity demanded. This is called elastic demand, which is no fun for producers.

If demand is inelastic, there is a business argument for producers to collude and act as a monopolistic cartel, because a price increase will multiply their profits tremendously. This situation is obviously unfair and frustrating for consumers. But it is very profitable for investors. It's basically the heart of Warren Buffett's value investment strategy.

Graph - Comparing Elastic and Inelastic Demand Curves

As you can see on the graph, the inelastic demand curve (grey) is steeper than the 'elastic' demand curve (blue). If the industrial structure is that of a monopoly on the supply side, the producer will stand to make more money. In this example, for a price of 5 dollars a tub of ice cream, quantity demanded would be 280 per week, under the inelastic scenario. That would provide a weekly revenue of 1,400$, which is more than the market would provide a monopolist under the scenario of an elastic demand function.

Table - Comparing Elastic and Inelastic Demand Schedules

Situation	Price ($/tub)	Qd elastic (t/w)	Potential Spending	Qd inelastic (t/w)	Potential Spending
A	6	100	600	260	1,560
B	5	250	1,250	280	1,400
C	4	300	1,200	300	1,200
D	3	400	1,200	320	960
E	2	500	1,000	340	680

In the case of a situation where the market is under perfectly competitive suppliers, the market would fix the price at 4 dollars, irrespective of the elasticity of demand. This being said, if ever there was a disruption such as a supply-side shock, that would force the market to increase prices, an elastic demand scenario would force suppliers back to the old price much more rapidly. The reason is that more buyers would substitute out of the market. If price does not come back down quickly, the overall sales would drop significantly.

Price-Elasticity of Supply

Economists look at the price sensitivity of sellers, and call that the price-elasticity of supply, or shorthand elasticity of supply. This matters to business people because if supply is said to be inelastic, that means producers can't increase production very much, if ever they wanted to. In this situation, supply is said to be pent-up, and the supply curve will be forward-sloping, but quite steep if not vertical.

Why can't suppliers increase production if the price increases?

The reason is that they are limited in their capacity. If your oven can bake 12 pies at a time, you can't make 13. As producers make more and more goods and services, they run out of the best resources, and eventually they just run out of inputs. The limits of production, the boundaries of the economic system, are the main reason for inelastic demand.

This is the case with production bottle-necks happening in the world economy since the COVID-19 pandemic. You can't get a boat to unload on the dock of the port of Shanghai, if there are already hundreds of boats waiting their turn. Congestion in the input markets has slowed production of complex goods all over the world. Same goes for oil and gas. You can't produce gasoline if there are no more wells to pump.

Graph - Comparing Elastic and Inelastic Supply Curves

The consequence is the possibility for important variations in price, both on the way up, and down, in relation to changes in demand. Imagine the demand curve were to shift left. The intersect with the orange line would entail a small decrease in price, and a large decrease in quantities. However, the intersect with the grey line (inelastic supply) would entail a large decrease in price, and a small decrease in quantities.

Table - Comparing Elastic and Inelastic Supply Schedules

Situation	Price ($/tub)	Supply Elastic (t/w)	Potential Sales ($/w)	Supply Inelastic (t/w)	Potential Sales ($/w)
A	6	600	3,600	340	2,040
B	5	500	2,500	320	1,600
C	4	300	1,200	300	1,200
D	3	150	450	280	840
E	2	50	100	260	520

As you can see in the table above, the market equilibrium remains unchanged, no matter if the supply curve is elastic or not. What changes is the market response to disruptions. Also consider that if industry conditions are inelastic, this means that the industry is mature in its product development and technology. It is producing near its largest possible scale. This is typically the kind of industry that wishes to consolidate to reduce competition on markets and give itself a change to boost revenues. If the demand-side is also quite inelastic, the opportunity to benefit from a monopoly strategy are even greater.